Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.494843 0.566611 0.644261 0.734407 0.836065 0.947040 1.077245
2025-04-06 0.389083 0.487111 0.601938 0.745903 0.921066 1.126734 1.385954
2025-04-13 0.298826 0.406884 0.543200 0.726675 0.965902 1.265829 1.668740
2025-04-20 0.248689 0.365885 0.524113 0.751218 1.066262 1.484862 2.079546
2025-04-27 0.211538 0.334540 0.511385 0.780626 1.175727 1.728835 2.554777
2025-05-04 0.176959 0.299805 0.487259 0.788884 1.255257 1.940300 3.010953
2025-05-11 0.147952 0.267659 0.460917 0.788451 1.320117 2.136488 3.466791
2025-05-18 0.124817 0.240356 0.437100 0.787185 1.381751 2.332876 3.943275
2025-05-25 0.106960 0.218548 0.418368 0.790517 1.449686 2.544762 4.465177
2025-06-01 0.093111 0.201273 0.404384 0.799193 1.526402 2.777485 5.043537
2025-06-08 0.079752 0.182232 0.383847 0.792403 1.573938 2.964391 5.561860
2025-06-15 0.071494 0.171925 0.378112 0.812056 1.671016 3.246021 6.270628
2025-06-22 0.061491 0.156072 0.359147 0.803777 1.715672 3.440621 6.848516
2025-06-29 0.054796 0.146317 0.351227 0.816662 1.803003 3.722893 7.615606
2025-07-06 0.046548 0.131128 0.329002 0.796003 1.819835 3.872325 8.146214
2025-07-13 0.042694 0.126038 0.328625 0.822862 1.938523 4.232284 9.118298
2025-07-20 0.039567 0.122186 0.330490 0.854955 2.072035 4.634534 10.210637
2025-07-27 0.035525 0.114964 0.322982 0.864010 2.155594 4.941745 11.137375
2025-08-03 0.031537 0.106994 0.312228 0.863587 2.217358 5.208511 12.003493
2025-08-10 0.028028 0.099623 0.301755 0.862241 2.276544 5.474811 12.891437
2025-08-17 0.025155 0.093548 0.293717 0.865885 2.347869 5.774031 13.875842
2025-08-24 0.022827 0.088679 0.288200 0.875334 2.434367 6.114948 14.980585
2025-08-31 0.020230 0.082264 0.277100 0.867958 2.477590 6.360202 15.890860